πŸ“ƒ EUROPE Crypto Market Trend 8h – 05/10/2023

05/10/2023 Crypto Market Analysis & Trend: Low

The cryptocurrency market is witnessing an array of negative cues pointing towards a potential dip. The recent spike in the fear index, as evidenced by the ‘Fear and Greed Indicators’ table, suggest a pessimistic sentiment in the market. In addition, Bitcoin, which is a significant indicator of the overall health of the cryptocurrency market, has seen a dip in its market capitalization and price variation over the past few days, according to the ‘Market Capitalizations and Volumes’ and ‘Prices’ data tables.

The negative trend is further reinforced by the ‘Exchanges’ data table, which shows a decrease in the Bitcoin volume in several major exchanges. Furthermore, the ‘Bitcoin Address Indicators’ table shows a decline in the active addresses, indicating weak network activity. Similarly, the mining difficulty rate has remained constant, which suggests a possible decline in mining interest due to poor market conditions. This trend has a high confidence level as it is corroborated by multiple independent data points, providing a comprehensive view of the market trend over multiple days.

What is important

The overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency market, particularly for Bitcoin, is negative. An increase in fear indicators and decrease in market capitalization of Bitcoin, coupled with reduction in active addresses and volume in major exchanges, indicate a slowdown in the market. Mining activity, which is crucial to the functioning of many cryptocurrencies, has not seen significant changes, implying a potential lack of interest due to poor market conditions.

Latest Crypto News – Top 5

  1. Sam Bankman-Fried committed Β΄massive fraud,Β΄ says prosecutor in opening statements– This article discusses Sam Bankman-Fried allegedly lying and the defenseΒ΄s attempt to pin FTX collapse on Caroline Ellison.
  2. Sam Bankman-FriedΒ΄s crypto empire “built on lies”: Prosecutors– Sam Bankman-FriedΒ΄s crypto empire built on lies
  3. SEC Seeks Rejection of CoinbaseΒ΄s Pushback Against Its Lawsuit– SEC seeks rejection of CoinbaseΒ΄s lawsuit pushback
  4. Does KrakenΒ΄s Huge Influx of BTC Spell Trouble for Bitcoin Price?– Kraken, BTC, Bitcoin price, trouble, influx
  5. Poor Week for Ether Prompts Research Firm to Reverse Outlook, Advise Favoring Bitcoin Instead– Poor week, Ether, research firm, reverse outlook, advise, favoring Bitcoin

Factors DrivingΒ the Growth – Market Sentiment

A careful analysis of positive and negative keywords reveals that negative keywords such as ‘sam bankman-fried’, ‘trial’ and ‘cryptocurrency market’ have been prominently mentioned in the news, reinforcing the overall negative sentiment. Positive keywords often include ‘ethereum’, ‘ripple’ and ‘xrp’, suggesting potential areas of interest in the market despite the overall downturn.

Positive Terms – Sentiment Analysis

OccurrencesKeyword
7cryptocurrency market
7xrp
3ethereum
3mexc ventures
3ripple
3shiba inu
28 figures
2bitcoin
2explode
2investment

Negative Terms – Sentiment Analysis

OccurrencesKeyword
6sam bankman-fried
5trial
4bitcoin
4ceo
4crypto
4cryptocurrency market
3btc
2accountability
2coinbase
2crypto exchange

Crypto Fear & Greed Index

Based on the ‘Fear and Greed Indicators’ table, it appears that the sentiment currently leans towards ‘fear’. This is reflected in the majority of the observations, with values ranging between 48-50 points. This indicates a somewhat negative sentiment about the future of the cryptocurrency market.

DateValueVariationSource
05/10/2023 00:00:0048pt-1ptAlternative.me
04/10/2023 15:00:0049pt0ptAlternative.me
04/10/2023 01:00:0049pt-1ptAlternative.me
04/10/2023 00:00:0050pt0ptAlternative.me
03/10/2023 00:00:0050pt0ptAlternative.me
05/10/2023 05:00:0048pt-1ptBitDegree.org
05/10/2023 00:00:0049pt0ptBitDegree.org
04/10/2023 15:00:0049pt0ptBitDegree.org
04/10/2023 11:00:0049pt-1ptBitDegree.org
04/10/2023 00:00:0050pt0ptBitDegree.org
03/10/2023 00:00:0050pt0ptBitDegree.org
02/10/2023 10:00:0050pt0ptBitDegree.org
05/10/2023 08:00:0067pt2ptBtcTools.io
05/10/2023 00:00:0065pt2ptBtcTools.io
04/10/2023 16:00:0063pt1ptBtcTools.io
04/10/2023 15:00:0062pt0ptBtcTools.io
04/10/2023 00:00:0062pt0ptBtcTools.io
03/10/2023 00:00:0062pt0ptBtcTools.io
05/10/2023 00:00:0048pt-1ptCoinstats.app
04/10/2023 15:00:0049pt0ptCoinstats.app
04/10/2023 00:00:0049pt-1ptCoinstats.app
03/10/2023 00:00:0050pt0ptCoinstats.app
05/10/2023 00:00:0048pt-1ptLookIntoBitcoin.com
04/10/2023 00:00:0049pt-1ptLookIntoBitcoin.com
03/10/2023 07:00:0050pt0ptLookIntoBitcoin.com
05/10/2023 00:00:0048pt-1ptMilkroad.com
05/10/2023 00:00:0049pt0ptMilkroad.com
04/10/2023 15:00:0049pt0ptMilkroad.com
04/10/2023 01:00:0049pt-1ptMilkroad.com
04/10/2023 00:00:0050pt0ptMilkroad.com
03/10/2023 00:00:0050pt0ptMilkroad.com

Bitcoin: Active Addresses

The ‘Bitcoin Address Indicators’ table shows a decrease in active addresses, reflecting a downturn in network activity. This coincides with the negative sentiment in the market and could be indicative of decreased trading and investment interest. However, the number of addresses with balance has not seen major changes, suggesting that the existing investors might be holding on to their investment.

DateValueVariationAddressSource
04/10/2023 00:00:001,007,103-2.72%Bitcoin Active AddressesLookIntoBitcoin.com
03/10/2023 00:00:001,034,5240.82%Bitcoin Active AddressesLookIntoBitcoin.com
02/10/2023 00:00:001,026,008-1.02%Bitcoin Active AddressesLookIntoBitcoin.com
01/10/2023 00:00:001,036,440-1.72%Bitcoin Active AddressesLookIntoBitcoin.com
04/10/2023 00:00:0012,365,1820.01%Addresses with Balance > 0.01 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
03/10/2023 00:00:0012,364,2990.02%Addresses with Balance > 0.01 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
02/10/2023 00:00:0012,361,304-0.03%Addresses with Balance > 0.01 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
01/10/2023 00:00:0012,364,929-0.06%Addresses with Balance > 0.01 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
04/10/2023 00:00:004,493,2140.02%Addresses with Balance > 0.1 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
03/10/2023 00:00:004,492,1390.02%Addresses with Balance > 0.1 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
02/10/2023 00:00:004,491,3790.01%Addresses with Balance > 0.1 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
01/10/2023 00:00:004,490,8610.00%Addresses with Balance > 0.1 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
04/10/2023 00:00:001,021,8100.02%Addresses with Balance > 1 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
03/10/2023 00:00:001,021,5970.01%Addresses with Balance > 1 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
02/10/2023 00:00:001,021,4450.00%Addresses with Balance > 1 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
01/10/2023 00:00:001,021,4590.01%Addresses with Balance > 1 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
04/10/2023 00:00:00157,314-0.02%Addresses with Balance > 10 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
03/10/2023 00:00:00157,3470.01%Addresses with Balance > 10 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
02/10/2023 00:00:00157,334-0.01%Addresses with Balance > 10 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
01/10/2023 00:00:00157,3530.01%Addresses with Balance > 10 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
04/10/2023 00:00:0015,8530.13%Addresses with Balance > 100 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
03/10/2023 00:00:0015,833-0.04%Addresses with Balance > 100 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
02/10/2023 00:00:0015,8400.08%Addresses with Balance > 100 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
01/10/2023 00:00:0015,8270.04%Addresses with Balance > 100 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
04/10/2023 00:00:002,0080.00%Addresses with Balance > 1000 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
03/10/2023 00:00:002,008-0.05%Addresses with Balance > 1000 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
02/10/2023 00:00:002,0090.25%Addresses with Balance > 1000 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
01/10/2023 00:00:002,0040.00%Addresses with Balance > 1000 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com

Economic events to move the cryptocurrency market

The ‘Economic Events’ table showcases several high impact events related to employment and trade balance in the regular financial markets. While these events don’t directly impact the cryptocurrency market, they do set the overall economic sentiment, which indirectly affects investor sentiment in the cryptocurrency market.

DateImpactEvent
06/10/2023 12:30:00HighEmployment Situation Average Hourly Earnings – M/M
06/10/2023 12:30:00HighEmployment Situation Average Workweek
06/10/2023 12:30:00HighEmployment Situation Private Payrolls – M/M
06/10/2023 12:30:00HighEmployment Situation Unemployment Rate
06/10/2023 12:30:00HighEmployment Situation Nonfarm Payrolls – M/M
06/10/2023 12:30:00HighEmployment Situation Average Hourly Earnings – Y/Y
06/10/2023 12:30:00HighEmployment Situation Participation Rate
06/10/2023 12:30:00HighEmployment Situation Manufacturing Payrolls – M/M
05/10/2023 23:30:00ModerateJPY – Household Spending (YoY) (Aug)
05/10/2023 23:30:00ModerateJPY – Household Spending (MoM) (Aug)
05/10/2023 20:30:00ModerateUSD – FedΒ΄s Balance Sheet
05/10/2023 16:00:00ModerateUSD – FOMC Member Daly Speaks
05/10/2023 14:30:00ModerateEIA Natural Gas Report Week over Week
05/10/2023 14:00:00ModerateEUR – ECBΒ΄s De Guindos Speaks
05/10/2023 14:00:00ModerateCAD – Ivey PMI (Sep)
05/10/2023 13:00:00ModerateEUR – German Buba President Nagel Speaks
05/10/2023 13:00:00ModerateUSD – FOMC Member Mester Speaks
05/10/2023 12:30:00ModerateUSD – Trade Balance (Aug)
05/10/2023 12:30:00HighUSD – Initial Jobless Claims
05/10/2023 12:30:00ModerateUSD – Imports
05/10/2023 12:30:00ModerateUSD – Exports
05/10/2023 12:30:00HighJobless Claims Initial Claims – Change
05/10/2023 12:30:00HighJobless Claims 4-Week Moving Average
05/10/2023 12:30:00HighJobless Claims Initial Claims – Level
05/10/2023 12:30:00HighInternational Trade in Goods and Services Balance
05/10/2023 09:45:00ModerateEUR – ECBΒ΄s Lane Speaks
05/10/2023 09:45:00ModerateGBP – BoE MPC Member Broadbent Speaks
05/10/2023 08:30:00ModerateGBP – S&P Global / CIPS UK Construction PMI (Sep)
05/10/2023 06:00:00ModerateEUR – German Trade Balance (Aug)
05/10/2023 00:30:00ModerateAUD – Trade Balance (Aug)
04/10/2023 16:00:00ModerateEUR – ECB President Lagarde Speaks
04/10/2023 15:25:00ModerateUSD – FOMC Member Bowman Speaks
04/10/2023 14:30:00ModerateUSD – Cushing Crude Oil Inventories
04/10/2023 14:30:00HighUSD – Crude Oil Inventories
04/10/2023 14:30:00HighEIA Petroleum Status Report Crude Oil Inventories – W/W
04/10/2023 14:30:00HighEIA Petroleum Status Report Distillate Inventories – W/W
04/10/2023 14:30:00HighEIA Petroleum Status Report Gasoline Inventories – W/W
04/10/2023 14:25:00ModerateUSD – FOMC Member Bowman Speaks
04/10/2023 14:00:00ModerateEUR – ECBΒ΄s Panetta Speaks
04/10/2023 14:00:00HighUSD – ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Sep)
04/10/2023 14:00:00HighUSD – ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Sep)
04/10/2023 14:00:00ModerateUSD – ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment (Sep)
04/10/2023 14:00:00ModerateUSD – Factory Orders (MoM) (Aug)
04/10/2023 14:00:00ModerateISM Services Index Index
04/10/2023 14:00:00ModerateFactory Orders Month over Month
04/10/2023 13:45:00HighUSD – S&P Global Services PMI (Sep)
04/10/2023 13:45:00ModerateUSD – S&P Global Composite PMI (Sep)
04/10/2023 12:15:00HighUSD – ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Sep)
04/10/2023 12:15:00ModerateADP Employment Report Private Payrolls – M/M
04/10/2023 11:40:00ModerateEUR – ECBΒ΄s De Guindos Speaks
04/10/2023 10:00:00ModerateUSD – OPEC Meeting
04/10/2023 08:30:00ModerateGBP – S&P Global/CIPS UK Services PMI (Sep)
04/10/2023 08:30:00ModerateGBP – S&P Global/CIPS UK Composite PMI (Sep)
04/10/2023 08:15:00ModerateEUR – ECB President Lagarde Speaks

Cryptocurrency Prices

From the ‘Prices’ table, a significant decrease in the prices of major cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, can be noted. The price variation over the past few days also suggests a decline, reflecting weaker buying interest from investors. This supports the overall negative sentiment in the cryptocurrency market.

DateCryptocurrencyPricePrice Variation24h Variation24h Variation Difference24h Volatility24h Volatility Difference
05/10/2023 00:00:00Bitcoin27,778.571.27%1.711.73%2.130.23%
04/10/2023 00:00:00Bitcoin27,426.46-0.25%-0.011.55%1.90-2.86%
03/10/2023 00:00:00Bitcoin27,494.520.00%-1.570.00%4.760.00%
05/10/2023 00:00:00Ethereum1,646.58-0.63%0.500.81%1.680.00%
04/10/2023 00:00:00Ethereum1,656.88-0.33%-0.313.28%1.68-4.87%
03/10/2023 00:00:00Ethereum1,662.410.00%-3.590.00%6.550.00%
05/10/2023 00:00:00Binance Coin213.40-0.05%0.711.27%1.42-0.18%
04/10/2023 00:00:00Binance Coin213.50-0.52%-0.560.77%1.60-2.39%
03/10/2023 00:00:00Binance Coin214.600.00%-1.330.00%3.990.00%

CryptocurrencyΒ Capitalization and Volume

The ‘Market Capitalizations and Volumes’ table shows a significant fall in the capitalization and volume of major cryptocurrencies over the past few days. Bitcoin’s capitalization has dropped, while volumes have remained stable, suggesting a possible slowing down of buying interest. Ethereum’s fluctuating volume alongside a declining capitalization further supports this view.

DateCryptocurrencyCapitalizationCapitalization VariationVolumeVolume Variation
05/10/2023 00:00:00Binance Coin32,826,841,264-0.11%386,973,34118.81%
04/10/2023 00:00:00Binance Coin32,861,373,642-0.61%314,193,087-79.86%
03/10/2023 00:00:00Binance Coin33,063,385,446-1.44%565,111,88925.68%
05/10/2023 00:00:00Bitcoin541,954,661,1811.17%11,106,571,0110.52%
04/10/2023 00:00:00Bitcoin535,605,771,922-0.51%11,048,519,9917.27%
03/10/2023 00:00:00Bitcoin538,323,470,358-1.30%10,245,157,482-4.81%
05/10/2023 00:00:00Ethereum198,232,748,756-0.57%8,202,531,93810.19%
04/10/2023 00:00:00Ethereum199,352,909,264-0.41%7,366,487,014-98.74%
03/10/2023 00:00:00Ethereum200,172,602,294-4.22%14,640,329,65339.55%
05/10/2023 00:00:00Tether83,356,125,4750.00%12,106,498,316-55.51%
04/10/2023 00:00:00Tether83,352,369,9860.09%18,826,293,655-60.16%
03/10/2023 00:00:00Tether83,273,336,8950.03%30,151,959,92445.05%

Cryptocurrency Exchanges Volume and Variation

The ‘Exchanges’ table reveals a decrease in volume in major exchanges, suggesting reduced trading activities. This is another indication of the overall pessimistic sentiment in the cryptocurrency market.

DateExchangeVolumeVariation
05/10/2023 00:00:00Binance186,049-1.75%
04/10/2023 00:00:00Binance189,303-43.41%
03/10/2023 00:00:00Binance271,48740.47%
05/10/2023 00:00:00Binance US304-10.52%
04/10/2023 00:00:00Binance US336-52.16%
03/10/2023 00:00:00Binance US51130.23%
05/10/2023 00:00:00Bitfinex3,0192.83%
04/10/2023 00:00:00Bitfinex2,934-66.88%
03/10/2023 00:00:00Bitfinex4,89624.63%
05/10/2023 00:00:00Bybit35,6664.16%
04/10/2023 00:00:00Bybit34,184-86.41%
03/10/2023 00:00:00Bybit63,72254.72%
05/10/2023 00:00:00Coinbase27,712-17.21%
04/10/2023 00:00:00Coinbase32,480-67.09%
03/10/2023 00:00:00Coinbase54,27154.23%
05/10/2023 00:00:00Crypto.com9,860-46.14%
04/10/2023 00:00:00Crypto.com14,409-37.60%
03/10/2023 00:00:00Crypto.com19,82750.02%
05/10/2023 00:00:00Gate.io22,3876.51%
04/10/2023 00:00:00Gate.io20,929-56.03%
03/10/2023 00:00:00Gate.io32,65745.32%
05/10/2023 00:00:00Kraken18,640-6.67%
04/10/2023 00:00:00Kraken19,884-43.15%
03/10/2023 00:00:00Kraken28,46260.13%
05/10/2023 00:00:00KuCoin10,404-0.98%
04/10/2023 00:00:00KuCoin10,506-42.57%
03/10/2023 00:00:00KuCoin14,97821.52%
05/10/2023 00:00:00OKX21,370-5.20%
04/10/2023 00:00:00OKX22,480-94.63%
03/10/2023 00:00:00OKX43,75337.19%

Mining – Blockchain Technology

The ‘Mining’ table shows a steady state in Bitcoin’s mining difficulty, suggesting a lack of uptick in mining interest. Considering the high cost and risk involved in mining activities, this could imply that miners are holding back due to the declining market conditions.

Item05/10/202304/10/202303/10/202302/10/202301/10/202330/09/202329/09/2023
Difficulty57.32T57.32T57.12T57.12T57.12T57.12T57.12T
Difficulty Variation0.00%0.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Blocks810.67K810.54K810.38K810.22K810.08K809.94K809.79K
Blocks Variation0.02%0.02%0.02%0.02%0.02%0.02%0.02%
Reward BTC6.256.256.256.256.256.256.25
Reward BTC Variation0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Hash Rate GB370.43B467.31B440.11B400.36B389.00B417.40B411.72B
Hash Rate GB Variation-26.15%5.82%9.03%2.84%-7.30%1.36%-8.28%

Conclusion

The analysis of various datasets pertaining to the cryptocurrency market reveals a prevalent negative sentiment. Metrics such as fear indicators, market capitalization, price and volume variation, mining interest, and exchange activity all point towards a possible downturn. However, signs of resilience can be observed in the form of stable mining difficulty and constant number of Bitcoin addresses with balance. Therefore, while the market is showing signs of a downturn, the passive investor base seems to be holding strong, crafting a mixed picture of the market conditions.

So What

The potential downturn in the cryptocurrency market means that investors and traders should be cautious about their positions. Increased volatility and market uncertainty could potentially lead to significant losses. Moreover, this could also indicate a period of stagnation, where both the number of transactions and trading volume decline.

What next?

Continued monitoring of these metrics is crucial in the near future. If the negative trend persists, we could see a further decline in market activity. However, any reversal in these trends, such as an increase in active addresses, volume on exchanges, or a decrease in fear indicators, could indicate a potential market recovery.

Disclaimer – Informational Content, Not Investment Advice: Content provided herein is solely for informational purposes and should not be construed as a recommendation, endorsement, or suggestion to engage in any form of investment activity. The information presented in this post is not intended to serve as financial, legal, tax, or investment advice.

Author: CryptoTrends Team – With over five years of diving deep into cryptocurrencies and blockchain, we’ve cemented our position as experts in the digital currency realm. Our team has not only contributed to a multitude of pioneering blockchain projects but has also enlightened thousands with our incisive articles CryptoTrends. Always at the cutting edge of crypto trends, we proudly collaborate with CryptoBotStation, ensuring our readers stay one step ahead in this dynamic space.

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