πŸ“ƒ EUROPE Crypto Market Trend 8h – Oct 13, 2023

Oct 13, 2023 Crypto Market Analysis & Trend: Low

In the past few days, the cryptocurrency market has witnessed a significant dip across various tokens and exchanges as observed from various data sets provided.

The persistence of negative keywords and news demonstrates heightened market uncertainty.

The Fear and Greed indicators also point towards prevailing fear in the industry.

Meanwhile, ‘Bitcoin Address Indicators’ demonstrate a decrease in active wallets, possibly related to users shifting their investments elsewhere or choosing to hold onto assets amidst a volatile market.

Despite an increase in some economic events, it appears that these activities have little positive influence on the market’s trajectory.

Altogether, these trends suggest further market downturns within the next eight hours.

What is important

Several indicators suggest that investor confidence in the cryptocurrency market is dwindling.

Fear and Greed indicators have remained consistently low, suggesting extreme fear in the market.

The declining active wallets and volumes across major exchanges reinforce this observation.

Furthermore, negative news associated with prominent cryptocurrencies and exchanges are prevalent.

Amidst these worrying signs, economic activities continue to rise gradually, hinting at potential future recoveries.

Top 5 – Latest Headlines & Cryptocurrency News

  1. Elliptic: FTX Hacker Laundered Stolen Crypto Funds Through Russian Crime Networks– The article discusses how stolen crypto funds were laundered through Russian crime networks.
  2. CFTC Sues Former CEO of Bankrupt Crypto Lender Voyager– The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has filed a lawsuit against the former CEO of a bankrupt cryptocurrency lender.
  3. New Clues Suggest Stolen FTX Funds Went to Russia-Linked Money Launderers– The article discusses a hack on FTX crypto exchange and a case of $400 million cryptocurrency laundering.
  4. Binance customers have traded against themselves with real money for six years– Binance customers have been making losses by trading against themselves for six years
  5. Changpeng ZhaoΒ΄s tweet Β΄contributedΒ΄ to collapse of FTX, claims Caroline Ellison– Changpeng ZhaoΒ΄s tweet about FTX led to major losses for many investors, according to Caroline Ellison.

Factors DrivingΒ the Growth – Market Sentiment

Analysis of the ‘Positive Keywords’ and ‘Negative Words’ tables reveals a significantly higher occurrence of negative keywords.

Prominent negative terms include Bitcoin, crypto, and FTX – all of which note contentious matters within the industry.

Fewer positive keywords were observed, and most only occurred twice or less implying a lack of positive reinforcement to counterbalance the extensive negative sentiment.

Positive Terms – Sentiment Analysis

OccurrencesKeyword
4bitcoin
3ripple
2banks
2coinbase
2dydx
2market
2revival
2uniswap
1$175 million
1$25,000

Negative Terms – Sentiment Analysis

OccurrencesKeyword
13bitcoin
9crypto
8ftx
5ftc
4cftc
4cryptocurrency market
4fraud
4hack
3alameda
3attack

Crypto Investor Fear & Greed Index

The ‘Fear and Greed Indicators’ table indicates a general trend of fear across all sources.

The values range primarily between 25 and 49, which represents ‘fear,’ while some values drop to the ‘extreme fear’ range of 0 to 24.

This widespread fear across sources suggests negative market sentiments.

DateValueVariationSource
2023-10-13 00:00:0044pt-1ptAlternative.me
2023-10-12 00:00:0045pt-2ptAlternative.me
2023-10-12 00:00:0047pt0ptAlternative.me
2023-10-11 00:00:0047pt-3ptAlternative.me
2023-10-11 00:00:0050pt0ptAlternative.me
2023-10-13 06:00:0044pt-1ptBitDegree.org
2023-10-13 00:00:0045pt0ptBitDegree.org
2023-10-12 14:00:0045pt-2ptBitDegree.org
2023-10-12 00:00:0047pt-3ptBitDegree.org
2023-10-11 00:00:0050pt0ptBitDegree.org
2023-10-13 08:00:0042pt6ptBtcTools.io
2023-10-13 00:00:0036pt-6ptBtcTools.io
2023-10-12 16:00:0042pt-16ptBtcTools.io
2023-10-12 08:00:0058pt-4ptBtcTools.io
2023-10-12 00:00:0062pt-2ptBtcTools.io
2023-10-12 00:00:0064pt0ptBtcTools.io
2023-10-11 16:00:0064pt-1ptBtcTools.io
2023-10-11 08:00:0065pt2ptBtcTools.io
2023-10-11 00:00:0063pt-1ptBtcTools.io
2023-10-10 16:00:0064pt0ptBtcTools.io
2023-10-13 00:00:0044pt-1ptCoinstats.app
2023-10-12 00:00:0045pt-2ptCoinstats.app
2023-10-11 00:00:0047pt0ptCoinstats.app
2023-10-13 00:00:0044pt-1ptLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-12 00:00:0045pt-2ptLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-11 00:00:0047pt0ptLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-13 00:00:0044pt-1ptMilkroad.com
2023-10-13 00:00:0045pt0ptMilkroad.com
2023-10-12 00:00:0045pt-2ptMilkroad.com
2023-10-12 00:00:0047pt0ptMilkroad.com
2023-10-11 00:00:0047pt-3ptMilkroad.com
2023-10-11 00:00:0050pt0ptMilkroad.com

Bitcoin: Active Addresses

The ‘Bitcoin Address Indicators’ table details the variations in active addresses and addresses with different Bitcoin balance values.

There’s a consistent decrease in ‘Bitcoin Active Addresses,’ a situation that may reflect a decline in market participation or engagement due to the volatile market condition.

DateValueVariationAddressSource
2023-10-12 00:00:00887,091-0.86%Bitcoin Active AddressesLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-11 00:00:00894,739-0.33%Bitcoin Active AddressesLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-10 00:00:00897,668-2.83%Bitcoin Active AddressesLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-09 00:00:00923,063-1.14%Bitcoin Active AddressesLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-12 00:00:0012,309,682-0.11%Addresses with Balance > 0.01 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-11 00:00:0012,323,138-0.17%Addresses with Balance > 0.01 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-10 00:00:0012,343,7530.00%Addresses with Balance > 0.01 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-09 00:00:0012,343,374-0.06%Addresses with Balance > 0.01 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-12 00:00:004,487,570-0.01%Addresses with Balance > 0.1 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-11 00:00:004,487,953-0.03%Addresses with Balance > 0.1 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-10 00:00:004,489,4980.02%Addresses with Balance > 0.1 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-09 00:00:004,488,5160.02%Addresses with Balance > 0.1 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-12 00:00:001,019,314-0.01%Addresses with Balance > 1 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-11 00:00:001,019,443-0.02%Addresses with Balance > 1 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-10 00:00:001,019,6490.01%Addresses with Balance > 1 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-09 00:00:001,019,5960.02%Addresses with Balance > 1 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-12 00:00:00157,2860.03%Addresses with Balance > 10 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-11 00:00:00157,2380.03%Addresses with Balance > 10 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-10 00:00:00157,1910.01%Addresses with Balance > 10 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-09 00:00:00157,179-0.01%Addresses with Balance > 10 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-12 00:00:0015,8640.02%Addresses with Balance > 100 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-11 00:00:0015,861-0.14%Addresses with Balance > 100 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-10 00:00:0015,8830.09%Addresses with Balance > 100 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-09 00:00:0015,8680.08%Addresses with Balance > 100 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-12 00:00:002,005-0.20%Addresses with Balance > 1000 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-11 00:00:002,009-0.05%Addresses with Balance > 1000 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-10 00:00:002,010-0.10%Addresses with Balance > 1000 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-09 00:00:002,0120.00%Addresses with Balance > 1000 BitcoinLookIntoBitcoin.com

Economic events to move the cryptocurrency market

The ‘Economic Events’ table points to an increase in moderation-level events.

This suggests that although there are ongoing activities in the economic space, the current market conditions might limit the positive impact of these events on the wider cryptocurrency market.

DateImpactEvent
2023-10-13 20:30:00ModerateEUR – CFTC EUR speculative net positions
2023-10-13 20:30:00ModerateRUB – CFTC RUB speculative positions
2023-10-13 20:30:00ModerateJPY – CFTC JPY speculative net positions
2023-10-13 20:30:00ModerateBRL – CFTC BRL speculative net positions
2023-10-13 20:30:00ModerateAUD – CFTC AUD speculative net positions
2023-10-13 20:30:00ModerateUSD – CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions
2023-10-13 20:30:00ModerateUSD – CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions
2023-10-13 20:30:00ModerateUSD – CFTC Gold speculative net positions
2023-10-13 20:30:00ModerateUSD – CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions
2023-10-13 20:30:00ModerateGBP – CFTC GBP speculative net positions
2023-10-13 17:00:00ModerateUSD – U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count
2023-10-13 17:00:00ModerateUSD – Federal Budget Balance (Sep)
2023-10-13 17:00:00ModerateUSD – U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count
2023-10-13 16:30:00ModerateGBP – BoE MPC Member Cunliffe Speaks
2023-10-13 14:00:00ModerateUSD – Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Oct)
2023-10-13 14:00:00ModerateUSD – Michigan Consumer Expectations (Oct)
2023-10-13 14:00:00ModerateUSD – Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations (Oct)
2023-10-13 14:00:00ModerateUSD – Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations (Oct)
2023-10-13 14:00:00ModerateConsumer Sentiment Year-ahead Inflation Expectations
2023-10-13 14:00:00ModerateConsumer Sentiment Index
2023-10-13 13:00:00ModerateEUR – ECB President Lagarde Speaks
2023-10-13 13:00:00ModerateUSD – FOMC Member Harker Speaks
2023-10-13 12:30:00ModerateUSD – Import Price Index (MoM) (Sep)
2023-10-13 12:30:00ModerateUSD – Export Price Index (MoM) (Sep)
2023-10-13 12:30:00ModerateImport and Export Prices Export Prices – M/M
2023-10-13 12:30:00ModerateImport and Export Prices Import Prices – Y/Y
2023-10-13 12:30:00ModerateImport and Export Prices Import Prices – M/M
2023-10-13 12:30:00ModerateImport and Export Prices Export Prices – Y/Y
2023-10-13 09:00:00ModerateEUR – Industrial Production (MoM) (Aug)
2023-10-13 08:00:00ModerateCNY – New Loans (Sep)
2023-10-13 08:00:00ModerateCNY – New Loans
2023-10-13 08:00:00ModerateGBP – BoE Gov Bailey Speaks
2023-10-13 07:00:00ModerateEUR – Spanish HICP (YoY) (Sep)
2023-10-13 07:00:00ModerateEUR – Spanish CPI (YoY) (Sep)
2023-10-13 06:45:00ModerateEUR – German Buba President Nagel Speaks
2023-10-13 06:45:00ModerateEUR – French HICP (MoM) (Sep)
2023-10-13 06:45:00ModerateEUR – French CPI (MoM) (Sep)
2023-10-13 06:30:00ModerateINR – WPI Inflation (YoY) (Sep)
2023-10-13 06:30:00ModerateCHF – PPI (MoM) (Sep)
2023-10-13 05:45:00ModerateEUR – German Buba Vice President Buch Speaks
2023-10-13 05:45:00ModerateEUR – German Buba President Nagel Speaks
2023-10-13 03:00:00ModerateCNY – Trade Balance (USD) (Sep)
2023-10-13 03:00:00ModerateCNY – Imports (YoY) (Sep)
2023-10-13 03:00:00ModerateCNY – Exports (YoY) (Sep)
2023-10-13 01:30:00ModerateCNY – PPI (YoY) (Sep)
2023-10-13 01:30:00ModerateCNY – CPI (MoM) (Sep)
2023-10-13 01:30:00ModerateCNY – CPI (YoY) (Sep)
2023-10-12 21:45:00ModerateNZD – Electronic Card Retail Sales (MoM) (Sep)
2023-10-12 21:30:00ModerateNZD – Business NZ PMI (Sep)
2023-10-12 20:30:00ModerateUSD – FedΒ΄s Balance Sheet
2023-10-12 19:00:00ModerateUSD – Federal Budget Balance (Sep)
2023-10-12 18:00:00ModerateUSD – Federal Budget Balance (Sep)
2023-10-12 18:00:00ModerateTreasury Statement Balance
2023-10-12 17:00:00ModerateUSD – FOMC Member Bostic Speaks
2023-10-12 16:00:00ModerateUSD – WASDE Report
2023-10-12 15:00:00ModerateUSD – Cushing Crude Oil Inventories
2023-10-12 15:00:00HighUSD – Crude Oil Inventories
2023-10-12 15:00:00HighEIA Petroleum Status Report Gasoline Inventories – W/W
2023-10-12 15:00:00HighEIA Petroleum Status Report Crude Oil Inventories – W/W
2023-10-12 15:00:00HighEIA Petroleum Status Report Distillate Inventories – W/W
2023-10-12 14:30:00ModerateEIA Natural Gas Report Week over Week
2023-10-12 12:30:00HighUSD – Initial Jobless Claims
2023-10-12 12:30:00HighUSD – CPI (MoM) (Sep)
2023-10-12 12:30:00HighUSD – CPI (YoY) (Sep)
2023-10-12 12:30:00HighUSD – Core CPI (MoM) (Sep)
2023-10-12 12:30:00ModerateUSD – Core CPI (YoY) (Sep)
2023-10-12 12:30:00HighCPI CPI – M/M
2023-10-12 12:30:00HighJobless Claims Initial Claims – Change
2023-10-12 12:30:00HighJobless Claims Initial Claims – Level
2023-10-12 12:30:00HighJobless Claims 4-Week Moving Average
2023-10-12 12:30:00HighCPI CPI – Y/Y
2023-10-12 12:30:00HighCPI Ex-Food & Energy- Y/Y
2023-10-12 12:30:00HighCPI Ex-Food & Energy- M/M
2023-10-12 12:00:00ModerateINR – CPI (YoY) (Sep)
2023-10-12 12:00:00ModerateGBP – NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker
2023-10-12 11:30:00ModerateEUR – ECB Publishes Account of Monetary Policy Meeting
2023-10-12 11:00:00ModerateEUR – ECBΒ΄s Panetta Speaks
2023-10-12 11:00:00ModerateUSD – OPEC Monthly Report
2023-10-12 09:00:00ModerateCNY – New Loans
2023-10-12 09:00:00ModerateGBP – BoE MPC Member Pill Speaks
2023-10-12 09:00:00ModerateGBP – BoE Deputy Governor Woods Speaks
2023-10-12 08:30:00ModerateGBP – BOE Credit Conditions Survey

Crypto Assets Prices

From the ‘Prices’ table, a trend of price depreciation across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Binance Coin is observed.

This reduction in prices aligns with the overall negative sentiment of the market, indicating the effects of market volatility and decreased investor confidence.

DateCryptocurrencyPricePrice Variation24h Variation24h Variation Difference24h Volatility24h Volatility Difference
2023-10-13 00:00:00Bitcoin26,759.63-0.43%-0.161.98%1.48-2.06%
2023-10-12 00:00:00Bitcoin26,875.52-1.91%-2.14-1.55%3.541.94%
2023-10-11 00:00:00Bitcoin27,390.110.00%-0.590.00%1.600.00%
2023-10-13 00:00:00Ethereum1,539.60-1.77%-1.40-0.92%3.130.91%
2023-10-12 00:00:00Ethereum1,566.86-0.05%-0.480.17%2.21-0.65%
2023-10-11 00:00:00Ethereum1,567.630.00%-0.650.00%2.860.00%
2023-10-13 00:00:00Binance Coin205.10-0.73%-0.340.29%2.220.21%
2023-10-12 00:00:00Binance Coin206.60-0.97%-0.63-1.94%2.01-1.59%
2023-10-11 00:00:00Binance Coin208.600.00%1.310.00%3.600.00%

CryptocurrencyΒ Capitalization and Volume

The ‘Market Capitalizations and Volumes’ table reveals a consistent decrease in both market capitalization and volume across major cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Binance Coin.

This suggests investor withdrawal or reduced trading frequency in the current market.

DateCryptocurrencyCapitalizationCapitalization VariationVolumeVolume Variation
2023-10-13 00:00:00Binance Coin31,540,932,571-0.70%308,932,494-18.48%
2023-10-12 00:00:00Binance Coin31,762,751,583-1.14%366,032,550-51.76%
2023-10-11 00:00:00Binance Coin32,124,877,0561.44%555,476,61914.44%
2023-10-13 00:00:00Bitcoin521,588,289,411-0.40%10,741,857,599-43.16%
2023-10-12 00:00:00Bitcoin523,656,381,533-2.10%15,378,087,70524.34%
2023-10-11 00:00:00Bitcoin534,655,184,151-0.68%11,634,746,676-15.32%
2023-10-13 00:00:00Ethereum184,813,440,032-1.84%9,087,513,20512.27%
2023-10-12 00:00:00Ethereum188,207,961,818-0.19%7,972,603,966-6.19%
2023-10-11 00:00:00Ethereum188,564,548,368-0.77%8,466,032,719-27.89%
2023-10-13 00:00:00Tether83,521,018,6040.03%16,721,333,250-23.60%
2023-10-12 00:00:00Tether83,499,673,0270.02%20,668,096,59646.60%
2023-10-11 00:00:00Tether83,483,900,707-0.05%11,036,501,310-81.75%

Cryptocurrency Exchanges Volume and Variation

The ‘Exchanges’ table shows little-to-negative variations across different exchanges.

The volume, denoting the number of transactions, is consistently decreasing, reinforcing the understanding of low market participation.

DateExchangeVolumeVariation
2023-10-13 00:00:00Binance164,468-25.28%
2023-10-12 00:00:00Binance206,0394.54%
2023-10-11 00:00:00Binance196,687-8.87%
2023-10-13 00:00:00Binance US208-55.28%
2023-10-12 00:00:00Binance US32430.08%
2023-10-11 00:00:00Binance US226-35.12%
2023-10-13 00:00:00Bitfinex4,542-1.08%
2023-10-12 00:00:00Bitfinex4,59126.53%
2023-10-11 00:00:00Bitfinex3,373-91.53%
2023-10-13 00:00:00Bybit33,112-18.57%
2023-10-12 00:00:00Bybit39,26210.96%
2023-10-11 00:00:00Bybit34,960-23.07%
2023-10-13 00:00:00Coinbase23,247-49.53%
2023-10-12 00:00:00Coinbase34,76220.86%
2023-10-11 00:00:00Coinbase27,512-10.93%
2023-10-13 00:00:00Crypto.com12,203-17.62%
2023-10-12 00:00:00Crypto.com14,35423.58%
2023-10-11 00:00:00Crypto.com10,969-21.24%
2023-10-13 00:00:00Gate.io16,227-30.65%
2023-10-12 00:00:00Gate.io21,200-5.23%
2023-10-13 00:00:00Kraken17,629-18.93%
2023-10-12 00:00:00Kraken20,96719.24%
2023-10-11 00:00:00Kraken16,933-9.73%
2023-10-13 00:00:00KuCoin7,856-14.98%
2023-10-12 00:00:00KuCoin9,03320.54%
2023-10-11 00:00:00KuCoin7,177-36.34%
2023-10-13 00:00:00OKX26,660-10.17%
2023-10-12 00:00:00OKX29,371-16.49%

Mining – Blockchain Technology

From the ‘Mining’ table, it seems that mining activity remains relatively unchanged amidst the downturn.

There’s little variation in difficulty, mined blocks, and reward across different dates.

Item2023-10-132023-10-122023-10-102023-10-092023-10-082023-10-07
Difficulty57.32T57.32T57.32T57.32T57.32T57.32T
Difficulty Variation0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Blocks811.93K811.77K811.45K811.29K811.14K810.97K
Blocks Variation0.02%0.04%0.02%0.02%0.02%0.02%
Reward BTC6.256.256.256.256.256.25
Reward BTC Variation0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Hash Rate GB470.16B455.91B447.37B421.72B484.41B455.91B
Hash Rate GB Variation3.03%1.88%5.73%-14.86%5.88%12.50%

Conclusion

Based on the data analyzed, there’s clear evidence of a trend towards negative investor sentiment, subdued market participation, and price deprecation within the cryptocurrency market.

The reason for this is multi-faceted, including negative news events associated with various cryptocurrencies and exchanges.

Fear and Greed indicators demonstrated prevailing fear in the market, which further validates this negative sentiment.

Additionally, the consistent decline in active wallets and trading volumes may indicate investors’ shifting investments or holding onto assets amidst market volatility.

So What

The current state of the market indicates a trend that may not favor immediate, short-term investments.

The pervasive negative sentiment and declining activity levels suggest that the market may continue to face instability and possibly further declines in the near term.

What next?

Over the next few hours, investors can expect the continuation of the current trend unless a considerable positive shift occurs to counter the prevailing negativity.

It’s crucial for investors to monitor key indicators like Fear and Greed indices, trading volumes, market capitalization, and follow mainstream news for real-time insights into the market.

Disclaimer – Informational Content, Not Investment Advice: Content provided herein is solely for informational purposes and should not be construed as a recommendation, endorsement, or suggestion to engage in any form of investment activity. The information presented in this post is not intended to serve as financial, legal, tax, or investment advice.

About the Author: CryptoTrends Team

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