πŸ“ƒ EUROPE Crypto Market Trend 8h – Oct 13, 2023 - (2023)

Oct 13, 2023 Crypto Market Analysis & Trend: Low

In the past few days, the cryptocurrency market has witnessed a significant dip across various tokens and exchanges as observed from various data sets provided.

The persistence of negative keywords and news demonstrates heightened market uncertainty.

The Fear and Greed indicators also point towards prevailing fear in the industry.

Meanwhile, ‘Bitcoin Address Indicators’ demonstrate a decrease in active wallets, possibly related to users shifting their investments elsewhere or choosing to hold onto assets amidst a volatile market.

Despite an increase in some economic events, it appears that these activities have little positive influence on the market’s trajectory.

Altogether, these trends suggest further market downturns within the next eight hours.

What is important

Several indicators suggest that investor confidence in the cryptocurrency market is dwindling.

Fear and Greed indicators have remained consistently low, suggesting extreme fear in the market.

The declining active wallets and volumes across major exchanges reinforce this observation.

Furthermore, negative news associated with prominent cryptocurrencies and exchanges are prevalent.

Amidst these worrying signs, economic activities continue to rise gradually, hinting at potential future recoveries.

Top 5 – Latest Headlines & Cryptocurrency News

  1. Elliptic: FTX Hacker Laundered Stolen Crypto Funds Through Russian Crime Networks– The article discusses how stolen crypto funds were laundered through Russian crime networks.
  2. CFTC Sues Former CEO of Bankrupt Crypto Lender Voyager– The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has filed a lawsuit against the former CEO of a bankrupt cryptocurrency lender.
  3. New Clues Suggest Stolen FTX Funds Went to Russia-Linked Money Launderers– The article discusses a hack on FTX crypto exchange and a case of $400 million cryptocurrency laundering.
  4. Binance customers have traded against themselves with real money for six years– Binance customers have been making losses by trading against themselves for six years
  5. Changpeng ZhaoΒ΄s tweet Β΄contributedΒ΄ to collapse of FTX, claims Caroline Ellison– Changpeng ZhaoΒ΄s tweet about FTX led to major losses for many investors, according to Caroline Ellison.

Factors DrivingΒ the Growth – Market Sentiment

Analysis of the ‘Positive Keywords’ and ‘Negative Words’ tables reveals a significantly higher occurrence of negative keywords.

Prominent negative terms include Bitcoin, crypto, and FTX – all of which note contentious matters within the industry.

Fewer positive keywords were observed, and most only occurred twice or less implying a lack of positive reinforcement to counterbalance the extensive negative sentiment.

Positive Terms – Sentiment Analysis

Occurrences Keyword
4 bitcoin
3 ripple
2 banks
2 coinbase
2 dydx
2 market
2 revival
2 uniswap
1 $175 million
1 $25,000

Negative Terms – Sentiment Analysis

Occurrences Keyword
13 bitcoin
9 crypto
8 ftx
5 ftc
4 cftc
4 cryptocurrency market
4 fraud
4 hack
3 alameda
3 attack

Crypto Investor Fear & Greed Index

The ‘Fear and Greed Indicators’ table indicates a general trend of fear across all sources.

The values range primarily between 25 and 49, which represents ‘fear,’ while some values drop to the ‘extreme fear’ range of 0 to 24.

This widespread fear across sources suggests negative market sentiments.

Date Value Variation Source
2023-10-13 00:00:00 44pt -1pt Alternative.me
2023-10-12 00:00:00 45pt -2pt Alternative.me
2023-10-12 00:00:00 47pt 0pt Alternative.me
2023-10-11 00:00:00 47pt -3pt Alternative.me
2023-10-11 00:00:00 50pt 0pt Alternative.me
2023-10-13 06:00:00 44pt -1pt BitDegree.org
2023-10-13 00:00:00 45pt 0pt BitDegree.org
2023-10-12 14:00:00 45pt -2pt BitDegree.org
2023-10-12 00:00:00 47pt -3pt BitDegree.org
2023-10-11 00:00:00 50pt 0pt BitDegree.org
2023-10-13 08:00:00 42pt 6pt BtcTools.io
2023-10-13 00:00:00 36pt -6pt BtcTools.io
2023-10-12 16:00:00 42pt -16pt BtcTools.io
2023-10-12 08:00:00 58pt -4pt BtcTools.io
2023-10-12 00:00:00 62pt -2pt BtcTools.io
2023-10-12 00:00:00 64pt 0pt BtcTools.io
2023-10-11 16:00:00 64pt -1pt BtcTools.io
2023-10-11 08:00:00 65pt 2pt BtcTools.io
2023-10-11 00:00:00 63pt -1pt BtcTools.io
2023-10-10 16:00:00 64pt 0pt BtcTools.io
2023-10-13 00:00:00 44pt -1pt Coinstats.app
2023-10-12 00:00:00 45pt -2pt Coinstats.app
2023-10-11 00:00:00 47pt 0pt Coinstats.app
2023-10-13 00:00:00 44pt -1pt LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-12 00:00:00 45pt -2pt LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-11 00:00:00 47pt 0pt LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-13 00:00:00 44pt -1pt Milkroad.com
2023-10-13 00:00:00 45pt 0pt Milkroad.com
2023-10-12 00:00:00 45pt -2pt Milkroad.com
2023-10-12 00:00:00 47pt 0pt Milkroad.com
2023-10-11 00:00:00 47pt -3pt Milkroad.com
2023-10-11 00:00:00 50pt 0pt Milkroad.com

Bitcoin: Active Addresses

The ‘Bitcoin Address Indicators’ table details the variations in active addresses and addresses with different Bitcoin balance values.

There’s a consistent decrease in ‘Bitcoin Active Addresses,’ a situation that may reflect a decline in market participation or engagement due to the volatile market condition.

Date Value Variation Address Source
2023-10-12 00:00:00 887,091 -0.86% Bitcoin Active Addresses LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-11 00:00:00 894,739 -0.33% Bitcoin Active Addresses LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-10 00:00:00 897,668 -2.83% Bitcoin Active Addresses LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-09 00:00:00 923,063 -1.14% Bitcoin Active Addresses LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-12 00:00:00 12,309,682 -0.11% Addresses with Balance > 0.01 Bitcoin LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-11 00:00:00 12,323,138 -0.17% Addresses with Balance > 0.01 Bitcoin LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-10 00:00:00 12,343,753 0.00% Addresses with Balance > 0.01 Bitcoin LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-09 00:00:00 12,343,374 -0.06% Addresses with Balance > 0.01 Bitcoin LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-12 00:00:00 4,487,570 -0.01% Addresses with Balance > 0.1 Bitcoin LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-11 00:00:00 4,487,953 -0.03% Addresses with Balance > 0.1 Bitcoin LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-10 00:00:00 4,489,498 0.02% Addresses with Balance > 0.1 Bitcoin LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-09 00:00:00 4,488,516 0.02% Addresses with Balance > 0.1 Bitcoin LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-12 00:00:00 1,019,314 -0.01% Addresses with Balance > 1 Bitcoin LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-11 00:00:00 1,019,443 -0.02% Addresses with Balance > 1 Bitcoin LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-10 00:00:00 1,019,649 0.01% Addresses with Balance > 1 Bitcoin LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-09 00:00:00 1,019,596 0.02% Addresses with Balance > 1 Bitcoin LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-12 00:00:00 157,286 0.03% Addresses with Balance > 10 Bitcoin LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-11 00:00:00 157,238 0.03% Addresses with Balance > 10 Bitcoin LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-10 00:00:00 157,191 0.01% Addresses with Balance > 10 Bitcoin LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-09 00:00:00 157,179 -0.01% Addresses with Balance > 10 Bitcoin LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-12 00:00:00 15,864 0.02% Addresses with Balance > 100 Bitcoin LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-11 00:00:00 15,861 -0.14% Addresses with Balance > 100 Bitcoin LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-10 00:00:00 15,883 0.09% Addresses with Balance > 100 Bitcoin LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-09 00:00:00 15,868 0.08% Addresses with Balance > 100 Bitcoin LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-12 00:00:00 2,005 -0.20% Addresses with Balance > 1000 Bitcoin LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-11 00:00:00 2,009 -0.05% Addresses with Balance > 1000 Bitcoin LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-10 00:00:00 2,010 -0.10% Addresses with Balance > 1000 Bitcoin LookIntoBitcoin.com
2023-10-09 00:00:00 2,012 0.00% Addresses with Balance > 1000 Bitcoin LookIntoBitcoin.com

Economic events to move the cryptocurrency market

The ‘Economic Events’ table points to an increase in moderation-level events.

This suggests that although there are ongoing activities in the economic space, the current market conditions might limit the positive impact of these events on the wider cryptocurrency market.

Date Impact Event
2023-10-13 20:30:00 Moderate EUR – CFTC EUR speculative net positions
2023-10-13 20:30:00 Moderate RUB – CFTC RUB speculative positions
2023-10-13 20:30:00 Moderate JPY – CFTC JPY speculative net positions
2023-10-13 20:30:00 Moderate BRL – CFTC BRL speculative net positions
2023-10-13 20:30:00 Moderate AUD – CFTC AUD speculative net positions
2023-10-13 20:30:00 Moderate USD – CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions
2023-10-13 20:30:00 Moderate USD – CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions
2023-10-13 20:30:00 Moderate USD – CFTC Gold speculative net positions
2023-10-13 20:30:00 Moderate USD – CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions
2023-10-13 20:30:00 Moderate GBP – CFTC GBP speculative net positions
2023-10-13 17:00:00 Moderate USD – U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count
2023-10-13 17:00:00 Moderate USD – Federal Budget Balance (Sep)
2023-10-13 17:00:00 Moderate USD – U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count
2023-10-13 16:30:00 Moderate GBP – BoE MPC Member Cunliffe Speaks
2023-10-13 14:00:00 Moderate USD – Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Oct)
2023-10-13 14:00:00 Moderate USD – Michigan Consumer Expectations (Oct)
2023-10-13 14:00:00 Moderate USD – Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations (Oct)
2023-10-13 14:00:00 Moderate USD – Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations (Oct)
2023-10-13 14:00:00 Moderate Consumer Sentiment Year-ahead Inflation Expectations
2023-10-13 14:00:00 Moderate Consumer Sentiment Index
2023-10-13 13:00:00 Moderate EUR – ECB President Lagarde Speaks
2023-10-13 13:00:00 Moderate USD – FOMC Member Harker Speaks
2023-10-13 12:30:00 Moderate USD – Import Price Index (MoM) (Sep)
2023-10-13 12:30:00 Moderate USD – Export Price Index (MoM) (Sep)
2023-10-13 12:30:00 Moderate Import and Export Prices Export Prices – M/M
2023-10-13 12:30:00 Moderate Import and Export Prices Import Prices – Y/Y
2023-10-13 12:30:00 Moderate Import and Export Prices Import Prices – M/M
2023-10-13 12:30:00 Moderate Import and Export Prices Export Prices – Y/Y
2023-10-13 09:00:00 Moderate EUR – Industrial Production (MoM) (Aug)
2023-10-13 08:00:00 Moderate CNY – New Loans (Sep)
2023-10-13 08:00:00 Moderate CNY – New Loans
2023-10-13 08:00:00 Moderate GBP – BoE Gov Bailey Speaks
2023-10-13 07:00:00 Moderate EUR – Spanish HICP (YoY) (Sep)
2023-10-13 07:00:00 Moderate EUR – Spanish CPI (YoY) (Sep)
2023-10-13 06:45:00 Moderate EUR – German Buba President Nagel Speaks
2023-10-13 06:45:00 Moderate EUR – French HICP (MoM) (Sep)
2023-10-13 06:45:00 Moderate EUR – French CPI (MoM) (Sep)
2023-10-13 06:30:00 Moderate INR – WPI Inflation (YoY) (Sep)
2023-10-13 06:30:00 Moderate CHF – PPI (MoM) (Sep)
2023-10-13 05:45:00 Moderate EUR – German Buba Vice President Buch Speaks
2023-10-13 05:45:00 Moderate EUR – German Buba President Nagel Speaks
2023-10-13 03:00:00 Moderate CNY – Trade Balance (USD) (Sep)
2023-10-13 03:00:00 Moderate CNY – Imports (YoY) (Sep)
2023-10-13 03:00:00 Moderate CNY – Exports (YoY) (Sep)
2023-10-13 01:30:00 Moderate CNY – PPI (YoY) (Sep)
2023-10-13 01:30:00 Moderate CNY – CPI (MoM) (Sep)
2023-10-13 01:30:00 Moderate CNY – CPI (YoY) (Sep)
2023-10-12 21:45:00 Moderate NZD – Electronic Card Retail Sales (MoM) (Sep)
2023-10-12 21:30:00 Moderate NZD – Business NZ PMI (Sep)
2023-10-12 20:30:00 Moderate USD – FedΒ΄s Balance Sheet
2023-10-12 19:00:00 Moderate USD – Federal Budget Balance (Sep)
2023-10-12 18:00:00 Moderate USD – Federal Budget Balance (Sep)
2023-10-12 18:00:00 Moderate Treasury Statement Balance
2023-10-12 17:00:00 Moderate USD – FOMC Member Bostic Speaks
2023-10-12 16:00:00 Moderate USD – WASDE Report
2023-10-12 15:00:00 Moderate USD – Cushing Crude Oil Inventories
2023-10-12 15:00:00 High USD – Crude Oil Inventories
2023-10-12 15:00:00 High EIA Petroleum Status Report Gasoline Inventories – W/W
2023-10-12 15:00:00 High EIA Petroleum Status Report Crude Oil Inventories – W/W
2023-10-12 15:00:00 High EIA Petroleum Status Report Distillate Inventories – W/W
2023-10-12 14:30:00 Moderate EIA Natural Gas Report Week over Week
2023-10-12 12:30:00 High USD – Initial Jobless Claims
2023-10-12 12:30:00 High USD – CPI (MoM) (Sep)
2023-10-12 12:30:00 High USD – CPI (YoY) (Sep)
2023-10-12 12:30:00 High USD – Core CPI (MoM) (Sep)
2023-10-12 12:30:00 Moderate USD – Core CPI (YoY) (Sep)
2023-10-12 12:30:00 High CPI CPI – M/M
2023-10-12 12:30:00 High Jobless Claims Initial Claims – Change
2023-10-12 12:30:00 High Jobless Claims Initial Claims – Level
2023-10-12 12:30:00 High Jobless Claims 4-Week Moving Average
2023-10-12 12:30:00 High CPI CPI – Y/Y
2023-10-12 12:30:00 High CPI Ex-Food & Energy- Y/Y
2023-10-12 12:30:00 High CPI Ex-Food & Energy- M/M
2023-10-12 12:00:00 Moderate INR – CPI (YoY) (Sep)
2023-10-12 12:00:00 Moderate GBP – NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker
2023-10-12 11:30:00 Moderate EUR – ECB Publishes Account of Monetary Policy Meeting
2023-10-12 11:00:00 Moderate EUR – ECBΒ΄s Panetta Speaks
2023-10-12 11:00:00 Moderate USD – OPEC Monthly Report
2023-10-12 09:00:00 Moderate CNY – New Loans
2023-10-12 09:00:00 Moderate GBP – BoE MPC Member Pill Speaks
2023-10-12 09:00:00 Moderate GBP – BoE Deputy Governor Woods Speaks
2023-10-12 08:30:00 Moderate GBP – BOE Credit Conditions Survey

Crypto Assets Prices

From the ‘Prices’ table, a trend of price depreciation across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Binance Coin is observed.

This reduction in prices aligns with the overall negative sentiment of the market, indicating the effects of market volatility and decreased investor confidence.

Date Cryptocurrency Price Price Variation 24h Variation 24h Variation Difference 24h Volatility 24h Volatility Difference
2023-10-13 00:00:00 Bitcoin 26,759.63 -0.43% -0.16 1.98% 1.48 -2.06%
2023-10-12 00:00:00 Bitcoin 26,875.52 -1.91% -2.14 -1.55% 3.54 1.94%
2023-10-11 00:00:00 Bitcoin 27,390.11 0.00% -0.59 0.00% 1.60 0.00%
2023-10-13 00:00:00 Ethereum 1,539.60 -1.77% -1.40 -0.92% 3.13 0.91%
2023-10-12 00:00:00 Ethereum 1,566.86 -0.05% -0.48 0.17% 2.21 -0.65%
2023-10-11 00:00:00 Ethereum 1,567.63 0.00% -0.65 0.00% 2.86 0.00%
2023-10-13 00:00:00 Binance Coin 205.10 -0.73% -0.34 0.29% 2.22 0.21%
2023-10-12 00:00:00 Binance Coin 206.60 -0.97% -0.63 -1.94% 2.01 -1.59%
2023-10-11 00:00:00 Binance Coin 208.60 0.00% 1.31 0.00% 3.60 0.00%

CryptocurrencyΒ Capitalization and Volume

The ‘Market Capitalizations and Volumes’ table reveals a consistent decrease in both market capitalization and volume across major cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Binance Coin.

This suggests investor withdrawal or reduced trading frequency in the current market.

Date Cryptocurrency Capitalization Capitalization Variation Volume Volume Variation
2023-10-13 00:00:00 Binance Coin 31,540,932,571 -0.70% 308,932,494 -18.48%
2023-10-12 00:00:00 Binance Coin 31,762,751,583 -1.14% 366,032,550 -51.76%
2023-10-11 00:00:00 Binance Coin 32,124,877,056 1.44% 555,476,619 14.44%
2023-10-13 00:00:00 Bitcoin 521,588,289,411 -0.40% 10,741,857,599 -43.16%
2023-10-12 00:00:00 Bitcoin 523,656,381,533 -2.10% 15,378,087,705 24.34%
2023-10-11 00:00:00 Bitcoin 534,655,184,151 -0.68% 11,634,746,676 -15.32%
2023-10-13 00:00:00 Ethereum 184,813,440,032 -1.84% 9,087,513,205 12.27%
2023-10-12 00:00:00 Ethereum 188,207,961,818 -0.19% 7,972,603,966 -6.19%
2023-10-11 00:00:00 Ethereum 188,564,548,368 -0.77% 8,466,032,719 -27.89%
2023-10-13 00:00:00 Tether 83,521,018,604 0.03% 16,721,333,250 -23.60%
2023-10-12 00:00:00 Tether 83,499,673,027 0.02% 20,668,096,596 46.60%
2023-10-11 00:00:00 Tether 83,483,900,707 -0.05% 11,036,501,310 -81.75%

Cryptocurrency Exchanges Volume and Variation

The ‘Exchanges’ table shows little-to-negative variations across different exchanges.

The volume, denoting the number of transactions, is consistently decreasing, reinforcing the understanding of low market participation.

Date Exchange Volume Variation
2023-10-13 00:00:00 Binance 164,468 -25.28%
2023-10-12 00:00:00 Binance 206,039 4.54%
2023-10-11 00:00:00 Binance 196,687 -8.87%
2023-10-13 00:00:00 Binance US 208 -55.28%
2023-10-12 00:00:00 Binance US 324 30.08%
2023-10-11 00:00:00 Binance US 226 -35.12%
2023-10-13 00:00:00 Bitfinex 4,542 -1.08%
2023-10-12 00:00:00 Bitfinex 4,591 26.53%
2023-10-11 00:00:00 Bitfinex 3,373 -91.53%
2023-10-13 00:00:00 Bybit 33,112 -18.57%
2023-10-12 00:00:00 Bybit 39,262 10.96%
2023-10-11 00:00:00 Bybit 34,960 -23.07%
2023-10-13 00:00:00 Coinbase 23,247 -49.53%
2023-10-12 00:00:00 Coinbase 34,762 20.86%
2023-10-11 00:00:00 Coinbase 27,512 -10.93%
2023-10-13 00:00:00 Crypto.com 12,203 -17.62%
2023-10-12 00:00:00 Crypto.com 14,354 23.58%
2023-10-11 00:00:00 Crypto.com 10,969 -21.24%
2023-10-13 00:00:00 Gate.io 16,227 -30.65%
2023-10-12 00:00:00 Gate.io 21,200 -5.23%
2023-10-13 00:00:00 Kraken 17,629 -18.93%
2023-10-12 00:00:00 Kraken 20,967 19.24%
2023-10-11 00:00:00 Kraken 16,933 -9.73%
2023-10-13 00:00:00 KuCoin 7,856 -14.98%
2023-10-12 00:00:00 KuCoin 9,033 20.54%
2023-10-11 00:00:00 KuCoin 7,177 -36.34%
2023-10-13 00:00:00 OKX 26,660 -10.17%
2023-10-12 00:00:00 OKX 29,371 -16.49%

Mining – Blockchain Technology

From the ‘Mining’ table, it seems that mining activity remains relatively unchanged amidst the downturn.

There’s little variation in difficulty, mined blocks, and reward across different dates.

Item 2023-10-13 2023-10-12 2023-10-10 2023-10-09 2023-10-08 2023-10-07
Difficulty 57.32T 57.32T 57.32T 57.32T 57.32T 57.32T
Difficulty Variation 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Blocks 811.93K 811.77K 811.45K 811.29K 811.14K 810.97K
Blocks Variation 0.02% 0.04% 0.02% 0.02% 0.02% 0.02%
Reward BTC 6.25 6.25 6.25 6.25 6.25 6.25
Reward BTC Variation 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Hash Rate GB 470.16B 455.91B 447.37B 421.72B 484.41B 455.91B
Hash Rate GB Variation 3.03% 1.88% 5.73% -14.86% 5.88% 12.50%

Conclusion

Based on the data analyzed, there’s clear evidence of a trend towards negative investor sentiment, subdued market participation, and price deprecation within the cryptocurrency market.

The reason for this is multi-faceted, including negative news events associated with various cryptocurrencies and exchanges.

Fear and Greed indicators demonstrated prevailing fear in the market, which further validates this negative sentiment.

Additionally, the consistent decline in active wallets and trading volumes may indicate investors’ shifting investments or holding onto assets amidst market volatility.

So What

The current state of the market indicates a trend that may not favor immediate, short-term investments.

The pervasive negative sentiment and declining activity levels suggest that the market may continue to face instability and possibly further declines in the near term.

What next?

Over the next few hours, investors can expect the continuation of the current trend unless a considerable positive shift occurs to counter the prevailing negativity.

It’s crucial for investors to monitor key indicators like Fear and Greed indices, trading volumes, market capitalization, and follow mainstream news for real-time insights into the market.

Disclaimer – Informational Content, Not Investment Advice: Content provided herein is solely for informational purposes and should not be construed as a recommendation, endorsement, or suggestion to engage in any form of investment activity. The information presented in this post is not intended to serve as financial, legal, tax, or investment advice.

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