📃 Jul 04, 2025 – USA Cryptocurrency Market 8h Daily Trend Forecast

Crypto Market Analysis & Trend: Neutral/Trending Down

The cryptocurrency market has recently exhibited a trending down trend, driven primarily by fluctuations in key currencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. In particular, Bitcoin’s value saw a notable decrease of 2.45% as of July 3, 2025, with a price hovering around $107,607.53, while Ethereum followed with a decline of 4.46%, currently priced at $2,506.55. These price shifts suggest that market sentiment may be reacting to broader economic indicators and recent developments affecting investor confidence.

Furthermore, overall market capitalization across major cryptocurrencies has encountered slight variances, with Binance Coin also experiencing a downward movement, down 1.62% to $653.33. Conversely, the observed trading volume has also contracted across exchanges. For instance, Binance saw a volume of $144,463, down 7.65%; a sign that market activity might not be as vigorous as previously anticipated. The cautious trading behavior could indicate that investors are taking a step back to assess future prospects.

In terms of mining activity, the Bitcoin network’s difficulty remains stable at 116.96T, yet the hash rate has decreased, which may suggest a potential slowdown in mining activity. Investors could view this as an indication of underlying challenges in maintaining network security in the face of diminishing profitability. Additionally, the Fear and Greed Index is crucial for interpreting sentiment within the market, and while there are indications of greed, recent negative trading volume changes underscore a more cautious posture.

Given these observations, while the current environment might not support an outright bearish trend, caution is warranted as several cryptos have seen shifts that could affect their resilience against volatility. The next 8 hours may see a continuation of this neutral trend, with potential fluctuations depending on how global economic events unfold and how traders respond to them.

What is important

The cryptocurrency market is facing a period of cautious sentiment, primarily influenced by notable declines in major coins such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. As of July 4, Bitcoin is priced at $107,607.53, dropping by 2.45%, while Ethereum has witnessed a 4.46% decline to $2,506.55. Additionally, trading volumes across key exchanges are showing signs of contraction, pointing to reduced investor activity.

Despite these temporary dips, the market remains closely monitored due to significant developments in regulations and trading sentiment that could pivot the outlook. Although it’s essential to remain vigilant, developments such as proposed legislation and trader sentiment can play crucial roles in navigating market conditions ahead.

Top 5 – Latest Headlines & Cryptocurrency News

👍 Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP Need Not Worry About Summer Blues As Long As This Critical Support Holds, Trader Says
The article discusses how Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP are not expected to face significant downturns during the summer as long as key support levels remain intact. This indicates a stable outlook for these cryptocurrencies despite seasonal market fluctuations.

👍 Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) Price Surge: Is the Next Big Rally Starting?
The article discusses a potential rally in the cryptocurrency market, specifically focusing on Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) as their prices surge. It highlights the growing interest and investment in these cryptocurrencies, suggesting that a significant upward trend may be on the horizon.

👍 Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin Surge Amid Trump´s ´One Big, Beautiful Bill´ Victory — Analyst Says BTC On ´Cusp Of Making History´ As It Eyes Key Weekly Resistance
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin have seen significant price increases following Donald Trump´s recent legislative success, which analysts believe has positively impacted the cryptocurrency market. The favorable sentiment surrounding this political victory appears to have bolstered investor confidence in these digital assets.

👍 Ripple CEO Heads to Capitol Hill as Congress Prepares Landmark Crypto Market Hearing
Ripple´s CEO is set to testify before Congress as lawmakers prepare for a significant hearing on the cryptocurrency market. This event could influence future regulations and the landscape of digital currencies in the United States.

👎 IMF Rejects Pakistan´s Plan To Subsidize Power For Crypto Mining, Cites Market Destabilization Concerns
The IMF has rejected Pakistan´s proposal to subsidize electricity for cryptocurrency mining, citing concerns about potential market destabilization. This decision highlights the ongoing challenges faced by countries attempting to integrate cryptocurrency mining into their economic strategies amid regulatory scrutiny.

Factors Driving the Growth – Market Sentiment

Positive sentiment around terms like ‘bitcoin’, ‘cryptocurrency’, and ‘rally’ suggests growing investor optimism, with Bitcoin being the most mentioned at 153 occurrences. Conversely, negative mentions of ‘crypto’, ‘kidnapping’, and ‘price’ reflect underlying concerns regarding recent downturns in the market. The stark contrast in sentiment indicates a divided perception among traders and investors, highlighting the current volatility in the cryptocurrency space as they respond to market movements and news developments.

Positive Terms – Sentiment Analysis

OccurrencesKeyword
153bitcoin
84cryptocurrency
39crypto
34ethereum
30xrp
20ripple
19investment
19rally
16dogecoin
16solana

Negative Terms – Sentiment Analysis

OccurrencesKeyword
36bitcoin
25cryptocurrency
10crypto
5kidnapping
5price
4pi coin
4polymarket
4xrp
3allegations
3bitcoin mining

Crypto Investor Fear & Greed Index

The Fear and Greed Index indicates that the cryptocurrency market is currently leaning towards greed with a notable value around 73. This sentiment is significant as it reflects a generally optimistic outlook among traders. However, given the recent price declines in major cryptocurrencies, this could signify a precarious state where overconfidence might lead to unexpected volatility. Investors should tread carefully, as shifts in sentiment can rapidly occur, potentially altering market dynamics in the near term.

DateValueVariationSource
2025-07-04 00:00:0073pt0ptAlternative.me
2025-07-03 00:00:0063pt0ptAlternative.me
2025-07-03 00:00:0073pt10ptAlternative.me
2025-07-02 00:00:0063pt0ptAlternative.me
2025-07-04 00:00:0073pt0ptBitcoinMagazinePro.com
2025-07-03 06:00:0073pt10ptBitcoinMagazinePro.com
2025-07-03 00:00:0063pt0ptBitcoinMagazinePro.com
2025-07-02 05:00:0063pt-1ptBitcoinMagazinePro.com
2025-07-02 00:00:0064pt0ptBitcoinMagazinePro.com
2025-07-04 00:00:0073pt10ptBitDegree.org
2025-07-03 00:00:0063pt0ptBitDegree.org
2025-07-02 00:00:0063pt0ptBitDegree.org
2025-07-04 00:00:0069pt1ptBtcTools.io
2025-07-03 16:00:0068pt3ptBtcTools.io
2025-07-03 08:00:0065pt2ptBtcTools.io
2025-07-03 00:00:0063pt4ptBtcTools.io
2025-07-02 16:00:0059pt4ptBtcTools.io
2025-07-02 08:00:0055pt-2ptBtcTools.io
2025-07-02 00:00:0057pt1ptBtcTools.io
2025-07-01 16:00:0056pt0ptBtcTools.io
2025-07-04 00:00:0054pt0ptCoinstats.app
2025-07-04 00:00:0055pt1ptCoinstats.app
2025-07-03 00:00:0046pt0ptCoinstats.app
2025-07-03 00:00:0054pt8ptCoinstats.app
2025-07-02 00:00:0046pt0ptCoinstats.app
2025-07-04 00:00:0073pt0ptMilkroad.com
2025-07-03 00:00:0063pt0ptMilkroad.com
2025-07-03 00:00:0073pt10ptMilkroad.com
2025-07-02 00:00:0063pt-1ptMilkroad.com
2025-07-02 00:00:0064pt0ptMilkroad.com

Bitcoin: Active Addresses

Recent indicators surrounding Bitcoin addresses reveal a stable trend, with over 1.4 billion total addresses noted. However, the count of active addresses has fluctuated, suggesting changing engagement levels within the Bitcoin network. The zero balance addresses number remains substantial, highlighting that a portion of the user base may not be actively trading or investing at this time. This data portrays a picture of a market that, while expansive, may be experiencing periods of reduced activity among investors who are waiting for more favorable conditions.

DateAddressesVariationIndicatorSource
2025-07-04 11:00:001,415,709,3250.00%Total Addressesbitaps.com
2025-07-04 11:00:001,362,631,4430.00%Zero Balance Addressesbitaps.com
2025-07-04 11:00:00780,265-0.21%Bitcoin Active Addressesbtc.com
2025-07-04 11:00:00540,1850.00%Addresses with over 0bitaps.com
2025-07-04 11:00:00219,4690.00%Addresses with over 0.0000001bitaps.com
2025-07-04 11:00:004,237,1890.00%Addresses with over 0.000001bitaps.com
2025-07-04 11:00:0011,104,2680.00%Addresses with over 0.00001bitaps.com
2025-07-04 11:00:0013,177,7160.01%Addresses with over 0.0001bitaps.com
2025-07-04 11:00:0011,450,1290.01%Addresses with over 0.001bitaps.com
2025-07-04 11:00:007,892,2320.00%Addresses with over 0.01bitaps.com
2025-07-04 11:00:003,471,7260.00%Addresses with over 0.1bitaps.com
2025-07-04 11:00:00832,8670.00%Addresses with over 1bitaps.com
2025-07-04 11:00:00133,563-0.02%Addresses with over 10bitaps.com
2025-07-04 11:00:0016,4390.00%Addresses with over 100bitaps.com
2025-07-04 11:00:002,0040.05%Addresses with over 1,000bitaps.com
2025-07-04 11:00:00910.00%Addresses with over 10,000bitaps.com
2025-07-04 11:00:0040.00%Addresses with over 100,000bitaps.com

Crypto Assets Prices

Price movements across major cryptocurrencies show a slight downward trend, with Bitcoin declining to $107,607.53, Ethereum dropping to $2,506.55, and Binance Coin at $653.33. These fluctuations illustrate market volatility amid mixed investor sentiment. The observed 24-hour variations indicate that while the prices are dipping, there remains potential for recovery if market conditions stabilize. Traders and investors should keep an eye on these shifts as they navigate their strategies in the coming hours.

DateCryptocurrencyPricePrice Variation24h Variation24h Variation Difference24h Volatility24h Volatility Difference
2025-07-04 14:20:00Bitcoin107,607.53-2.45%-1.92-3.87%2.250.02%
2025-07-03 14:20:00Bitcoin110,242.912.26%1.940.22%2.23-0.53%
2025-07-02 14:20:00Bitcoin107,747.650.66%1.721.50%2.761.34%
2025-07-04 14:20:00Ethereum2,506.55-4.46%-3.41-9.44%3.90-2.85%
2025-07-03 14:20:00Ethereum2,618.336.23%6.024.56%6.743.08%
2025-07-02 14:20:00Ethereum2,455.260.32%1.461.10%3.67-0.41%
2025-07-04 14:20:00Binance Coin653.33-1.62%-1.38-2.08%1.720.69%
2025-07-03 14:20:00Binance Coin663.940.91%0.70-0.96%1.03-1.48%
2025-07-02 14:20:00Binance Coin657.910.97%1.661.64%2.510.87%

Cryptocurrency Capitalization and Volume

Market capitalization for cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum also demonstrates slight declines, with Bitcoin’s capitalization resting at over $2.18 trillion and Ethereum around $312 billion. The variations in market capitalization underscore the volatile nature of the cryptocurrency space, and recent trading volumes indicate reduced market engagement. This suggests that traders are adopting a cautious stance amidst observed volatility. The trends in capitalization and volume are essential indicators for assessing the overall health of the market.

DateCryptocurrencyCapitalizationCapitalization VariationVolumeVolume Variation
2025-07-04 00:00:00Binance Coin96,750,442,8020.48%722,377,901-4.80%
2025-07-03 00:00:00Binance Coin96,284,842,3502.10%758,778,51333.21%
2025-07-02 00:00:00Binance Coin94,308,092,129-1.61%569,608,557-17.69%
2025-07-04 00:00:00Bitcoin2,180,135,266,1500.69%29,275,734,949-20.64%
2025-07-03 00:00:00Bitcoin2,165,221,998,8593.03%36,890,337,85748.28%
2025-07-02 00:00:00Bitcoin2,101,554,566,848-1.35%24,879,590,32612.32%
2025-07-04 00:00:00Ethereum312,767,403,1120.71%19,262,287,703-17.95%
2025-07-03 00:00:00Ethereum310,559,279,0296.94%23,476,636,64581.59%
2025-07-02 00:00:00Ethereum290,395,471,163-3.30%12,928,101,646-21.05%
2025-07-04 00:00:00Ripple133,342,622,7821.03%3,536,411,409-0.48%
2025-07-03 00:00:00Ripple131,977,327,5082.99%3,553,431,40729.17%
2025-07-02 00:00:00Ripple128,145,377,426-3.01%2,751,039,110-22.05%
2025-07-04 00:00:00Tether158,312,331,8500.27%54,845,349,889-13.00%
2025-07-03 00:00:00Tether157,879,566,2220.10%63,042,626,567198.30%
2025-07-02 00:00:00Tether157,728,281,6000.00%21,133,627,484-14.82%

Cryptocurrency Exchanges Volume and Variation

On the exchanges, Binance continues to dominate in terms of volume, yet its figures have shown a downward trend at $144,463, down 7.65%. Similarly, other exchanges such as Bitfinex and Bybit are also seeing declines in activity. This shrinking volume across leading platforms can signal lowered investor confidence at this time, warranting further scrutiny as this market behavior may forecast erratic trading patterns in the near term. Active engagement will be key in determining recovery trends in this marketplace.

DateExchangeVolumeVariation
2025-07-04 00:00:00Binance144,463-7.65%
2025-07-03 00:00:00Binance156,43236.62%
2025-07-02 00:00:00Binance114,500-3.87%
2025-07-04 00:00:00Binance US19021.79%
2025-07-03 00:00:00Binance US15687.95%
2025-07-02 00:00:00Binance US831.22%
2025-07-04 00:00:00Bitfinex1,074-29.94%
2025-07-03 00:00:00Bitfinex1,533-54.46%
2025-07-02 00:00:00Bitfinex3,36694.45%
2025-07-04 00:00:00Bybit25,793-15.33%
2025-07-03 00:00:00Bybit30,46323.11%
2025-07-02 00:00:00Bybit24,7451.61%
2025-07-04 00:00:00Coinbase19,297-14.80%
2025-07-03 00:00:00Coinbase22,64851.47%
2025-07-02 00:00:00Coinbase14,952-19.44%
2025-07-04 00:00:00Crypto.com19,936-8.48%
2025-07-03 00:00:00Crypto.com21,78434.56%
2025-07-02 00:00:00Crypto.com16,189-9.74%
2025-07-04 00:00:00Gate.io28,123-11.19%
2025-07-03 00:00:00Gate.io31,66740.26%
2025-07-02 00:00:00Gate.io22,578-2.00%
2025-07-04 00:00:00Kraken10,206-16.49%
2025-07-03 00:00:00Kraken12,22122.52%
2025-07-02 00:00:00Kraken9,9757.22%
2025-07-04 00:00:00KuCoin10,888-10.50%
2025-07-03 00:00:00KuCoin12,16534.12%
2025-07-02 00:00:00KuCoin9,070-6.58%
2025-07-04 00:00:00OKX21,601-15.00%
2025-07-03 00:00:00OKX25,41439.60%
2025-07-02 00:00:00OKX18,205-10.59%

Mining – Blockchain Technology

In the realm of mining, Bitcoin’s difficulty remains stable at 116.96T, suggesting that the network is maintaining its current operations efficiently. However, the decline in hash rates indicates potential challenges in mining profitability and participant engagement. Investors should be wary, as diminished mining activity may lead to future implications for both the network and pricing dynamics in cryptocurrency. Thus, monitoring advancements in mining technologies and profitability will be important.

Item2025-07-042025-07-032025-07-022025-07-012025-06-302025-06-292025-06-28
Difficulty116.96T116.96T116.96T116.96T116.96T126.41T126.41T
Difficulty Variation0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-7.48%0.00%0.00%
Blocks903.89K903.74K903.59K903.45K903.31K903.14K903.00K
Blocks Variation0.02%0.02%0.01%0.02%0.02%0.02%0.01%
Reward BTC3.133.133.133.133.133.133.13
Reward BTC Variation0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Hash Rate GB872.11B895.42B784.90B820.81B1.00T904.89B722.95B
Hash Rate GB Variation-2.60%14.08%-4.38%-17.97%10.58%25.17%-26.36%

Conclusion

The current landscape of the cryptocurrency market indicates a tempered caution among traders and investors, tempered by upward pressures and potential volatility. Bitcoin and Ethereum’s recent drops, along with contracting volumes across major exchanges, are reflective of this sentiment. Market participants are awaiting catalysts that could deliver necessary momentum to reverse downward trends and restore investor confidence.

In light of economic factors and ongoing sentiment shifts, it’s imperative for market players to stay agile. Monitoring fluctuations in trading volumes, address activity, and external economic events will provide deeper insights into market behavior in the upcoming hours. As the Fear and Greed Index suggests a prevalent sense of greed, the possibility of a correction looms, underscoring the importance of vigilant trading strategies.

Thus, while opportunities may still present themselves, the narrative surrounding Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other cryptocurrencies is fraught with uncertainty. Traders must remain informed and responsive to incoming data points that could influence their positions significantly.

So What

The implications of the current market dynamics suggest that investors and traders should adopt a cautious yet responsive approach. With volatility running high, and significant price movements occurring within short timeframes, traders should be prepared for swift adjustments to their strategies. The recent downturn in key cryptocurrencies illustrates the fragility of current trends and signals the need for careful risk management.

What next?

Looking forward, traders can expect further fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market as economic indicators and developments unfold. Staying informed on news relevant to major cryptocurrencies and regulatory shifts will be crucial. Additionally, attention to market sentiment reflected in the Fear and Greed Index is vital, as it may hint at approaching opportunities or corrections. As these trends progress, engaging with a disciplined approach and keeping the pulse on broader economic events will reinforce trading decisions in this anticipated climate of uncertainty.

Disclaimer – Informational Content, Not Investment Advice

Content provided herein is solely for informational purposes and should not be construed as a recommendation, endorsement, or suggestion to engage in any form of investment activity. The information presented in this post is not intended to serve as financial, legal, tax, or investment advice.

About the Author: CryptoTrends Team

With over five years of diving deep into cryptocurrencies and blockchain, we’ve cemented our position as experts in the digital currency realm. Our team has not only contributed to a multitude of pioneering blockchain projects but has also enlightened thousands with our incisive articles CryptoTrends. Always at the cutting edge of crypto trends, we proudly collaborate with CryptoBotStation, ensuring our readers stay one step ahead in this dynamic space.

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