📃 Oct 04, 2026 – ASIA Cryptocurrency Market 8h Daily Trend Forecast

Crypto Market Analysis & Trend: Neutral/Trending Up

Bitcoin held steady at $84,738.01 on October 3, 2026, with a modest 0.20% price variation for the day. This followed a slight dip on October 2, when it dipped to $84,566.00 with a -0.19% variation. Bitcoin’s 24-hour volatility was 0.69% on October 3, down from 3.97% on October 2, suggesting it stabilized after recent choppiness. News reports point to a bullish Bitcoin, with investors betting on a Federal Reserve pause and technical indicators like Bollinger support holding firm, eyeing $86,000 and even $90,000 price targets.

Ethereum dipped sharply on October 2, 2026, to $2,668.66, a -1.31% variation, with 24-hour volatility at 4.77%. That’s a contrast to October 1, when it climbed 0.53% to $2,703.50. Binance Coin also dipped, trading at $768.07 with a -0.28% variation on October 2, and 3.17% 24-hour volatility. Bitcoin, Ethereum, Binance Coin, and Ripple market capitalizations all slipped on October 3; Bitcoin was down -0.37% to $1,698,097,774,927 and Ethereum fell -1.36% to $325,799,004,892.

Despite minor price and capitalization dips, trading volumes across major cryptocurrencies climbed significantly on October 3. Bitcoin’s volume surged 37.19% to $45,586,466,041, Ethereum’s volume rose 38.04% to $18,959,618,431, and Ripple’s volume jumped 66.91% to $3,789,692,521. This surge in volume during a period of slight price consolidation suggests active trading interest, perhaps accumulation or rebalancing rather than a broad market sell-off.

The Fear and Greed Index, while still in the ‘Greed’ zone, slipped from 74pt on October 1 to 67pt on October 3, cooling some of the extreme market enthusiasm. This mix of stable-to-slightly-down prices, higher trading volume, and moderating but still-greedy sentiment offers a mixed but generally positive outlook for the next 8 hours, with moderate confidence. Bullish news for Bitcoin suggests potential for upward movement, even as some altcoins face specific challenges.

What is important

The cryptocurrency market shows mixed signals, with major assets like Bitcoin holding steady around $84,738.01 on October 3, 2026, even as most top cryptocurrencies saw slight negative market cap variations. Trading volumes, however, climbed significantly across the board, with Bitcoin’s volume up 37.19% and Ethereum’s up 38.04% on October 3, suggesting active market participation.

The Fear and Greed Index stays in ‘Greed’ territory at 67pt on October 3, down from 74pt on October 1. This signals a slight moderation in investor enthusiasm, but sentiment stays positive. Bitcoin’s on-chain metrics show total addresses steadily climbing, reaching 1,550,199,538 on October 3, with minimal percentage variations across balance thresholds.

Exchange volumes also climbed, with Binance seeing a 23.27% increase and Kraken surging 49.82% on October 3. Mining operations are stable; Bitcoin’s difficulty is 132.76T and its hash rate climbed 3.76% on October 3. Stable prices, higher volumes, sustained mining activity, and ‘Greed’ sentiment suggest a market consolidating but retaining underlying strength.

Top 5 – Latest Headlines & Cryptocurrency News

👍 Bitcoin ETFs record $102M inflows – Why $85K matters for BTC now
– Bitcoin ETFs have seen significant inflows, reaching $102 million. The price of Bitcoin is approaching a crucial level of $85,000, which is considered a key indicator for its current market trajectory. This positive momentum suggests growing investor confidence and potential for further price appreciation.

👎 NEAR Blocked $50 Million of Bitget´s Stolen Money, Then Lost $3.8 Million of Its Own Two Days Later. Is NEAR Still Safe to Hold After a 182% Monthly Surge?
– NEAR Protocol´s efforts to block $50 million in stolen funds from Bitget were partially successful, but the protocol subsequently lost $3.8 million of its own assets. This incident raises concerns about NEAR´s security and its safety for holders, despite a recent 18.2% monthly surge in value. The situation highlights potential vulnerabilities within the cryptocurrency ecosystem.

👍 NEAR Intents recovers entire stolen $3.8M after ultimatum to exploiter
– NEAR Protocol´s NEAR Intents successfully recovered the entire $38 million stolen in a recent exploit. The recovery was achieved after the protocol issued an ultimatum to the exploiter, who subsequently returned the funds. This incident highlights the evolving security measures within the NEAR ecosystem and the potential for swift resolution of such events.

👎 Bitget Rebuilt a $309 Million Protection Fund After a $388 Million Hack. Is Your Crypto Safe on an Exchange?
– Bitget has replenished its protection fund with $309 million following a $388 million hack. This event raises questions about the security of cryptocurrencies held on exchanges. Investors are concerned about the safety of their digital assets after such significant security breaches.

👍 Cardano´s RealFi Pays Up to 9% on Stablecoins. Can It Do for ADA What Tokenized Treasuries Did for the XRP Ledger?
– Cardano´s RealFi initiative is offering attractive yields of up to 9% on stablecoins, drawing parallels to how tokenized treasuries boosted the XRP Ledger. This development suggests significant potential for ADA´s growth and adoption within the decentralized finance space.

Factors Driving the Growth – Market Sentiment

Positive keywords show a strong focus on “bitcoin,” appearing 8 times, along with specific bullish indicators like “bitcoin miners” (3 occurrences), “revenue” (3 occurrences), “bitcoin etfs” (2 occurrences), and “bullish” (2 occurrences). This points to a narrative centered on Bitcoin’s performance, institutional interest, and the profitability of its ecosystem. Negative keywords, conversely, frequently mention “cryptocurrency” (8 occurrences) as a general concern, alongside specific project-related issues such as “bitget” (3 occurrences), “near” (3 occurrences), “blast” (2 occurrences), “cardano” (2 occurrences), and “stolen” (2 occurrences). This means while Bitcoin enjoys positive sentiment, broader crypto market concerns often revolve around security incidents, project failures, or specific altcoin underperformance.

Positive Terms – Sentiment Analysis

Negative Terms – Sentiment Analysis

Crypto Investor Fear & Greed Index

The Fear and Greed Index shows the market in ‘Greed,’ consistently above 50pt. On October 3, 2026, the index hit 67pt from Alternative.me and Milkroad.com, and 68pt from Coinstats.app. That’s a slight decline from October 1, when it was 74pt from Alternative.me, BitDegree.org, and Milkroad.com. The index dropped -5pt on October 3 from Alternative.me and Milkroad.com, and -2pt on October 2 from those same sources, signaling a gradual cooling of extreme market enthusiasm, though sentiment stays firmly positive.

Bitcoin: Active Addresses

Bitcoin address indicators from bitaps.com show total addresses steadily climbing, reaching 1,550,199,538 by 23:00 on October 3, 2026. Zero balance addresses also grew, totaling 1,493,146,946 at the same time, both showing 0.00% variation throughout the day. Addresses holding various amounts of Bitcoin, such as those with over 0.000001 BTC (5,003,805 addresses) and over 0.00001 BTC (12,280,679 addresses), also showed minimal to no percentage variation on October 3. Addresses with over 0.0001 BTC saw a 0.02% variation, and those with over 0.001 BTC saw a 0.01% variation on October 3, suggesting a relatively stable distribution of holdings. Data for ‘Bitcoin Active Addresses’ from btc.com was reported as 0 for all dates in August 2026, indicating no recent active address data from that source.

Crypto Assets Prices

Bitcoin’s price on October 3, 2026, was $84,738.01, with a modest 0.20% price variation and a 0.26% 24-hour variation. Its 24-hour volatility was 0.69%, down -3.28% from the previous day. On October 2, Bitcoin’s price was $84,566.00 with a -0.19% variation and a higher 3.97% volatility. Ethereum’s price on October 2 was $2,668.66, with a -1.31% variation and 4.77% 24-hour volatility. Binance Coin also dipped on October 2, trading at $768.07 with a -0.28% variation and 3.17% volatility. These figures suggest slight consolidation for major cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin showing lower volatility than Ethereum and Binance Coin.

Cryptocurrency Capitalization and Volume

Market capitalizations for most major cryptocurrencies saw slight negative variations on October 3, 2026. Bitcoin’s capitalization fell -0.37% to $1,698,097,774,927, Ethereum’s fell -1.36% to $325,799,004,892, Binance Coin’s by -0.42% to $102,269,417,112, and Ripple’s by -0.65% to $93,674,923,466. Tether, a stablecoin, saw a minimal positive variation of 0.01%, reaching $184,034,981,065. Despite these minor declines in capitalization, trading volumes climbed significantly on October 3. Bitcoin’s volume surged 37.19% to $45,586,466,041, Ethereum’s by 38.04% to $18,959,618,431, Binance Coin’s by 36.91% to $933,323,285, and Ripple’s by 66.91% to $3,789,692,521. This divergence,capitalization slightly down but volumes significantly up,indicates active trading during price consolidation.

Cryptocurrency Exchanges Volume and Variation

Trading volumes across major cryptocurrency exchanges climbed substantially on October 3, 2026, compared to the previous day. Binance, the largest exchange, recorded a volume of 172,066, up 23.27%. Kraken surged significantly, with volume rising 49.82% to 26,413. Bitfinex also grew strongly, with volume up 45.26% to 11,012. Other exchanges like Gate.io (27,927 volume, +28.70%), Coinbase (28,796 volume, +22.46%), Bybit (26,503 volume, +15.32%), Crypto.com (13,256 volume, +14.41%), and OKX (40,639 volume, +15.80%) all saw double-digit percentage increases in daily volumes. KuCoin was an outlier, slipping -1.48% to 16,996 volume. This widespread increase in trading activity suggests heightened market engagement.

Mining – Blockchain Technology

Bitcoin mining metrics show a stable environment on October 3, 2026. The mining difficulty held steady at 132.76T, consistent for several days. Mined blocks climbed slightly by 0.01% to 969.65K, and the block reward in BTC held stable at 3.13. The hash rate, representing computational power dedicated to mining, saw a notable increase of 3.76% on October 3, to 931.68B GB. This follows a -3.62% decrease on October 2, showing a recovery in mining power. Overall stability in difficulty and rewards, coupled with a recent uptick in hash rate, suggests a healthy and active mining sector.

Taking stock

The cryptocurrency market shows a fascinating dynamic: overall sentiment is slightly cooling within a still-greedy environment, with robust trading activity. The Fear and Greed Index, at 67pt on October 3, retreated from its 74pt peak on October 1, suggesting extreme bullishness is moderating. This shift in sentiment hasn’t led to significant price declines for major assets; Bitcoin’s price held steady around $84,738.01 on October 3, with only minor negative variations for most top cryptocurrencies.

Trading volumes climbed substantially across the board. Bitcoin’s volume jumped 37.19% and Ethereum’s by 38.04% on October 3. Similar surges hit major exchanges like Binance (+23.27%) and Kraken (+49.82%). This heightened activity during price consolidation could indicate underlying strength, as market participants actively engage, potentially accumulating assets or rebalancing portfolios.

Mining operations are stable; Bitcoin’s difficulty is 132.76T and its hash rate climbed a healthy 3.76% on October 3. This network stability provides confidence. While some altcoins face negative news regarding security incidents or project shutdowns, the dominant positive sentiment for Bitcoin, driven by ETF inflows and price targets, suggests a resilient market with specific areas of strength.

So What

For market participants, the current environment suggests a nuanced approach. The sustained ‘Greed’ sentiment, even with a slight moderation from 74pt to 67pt, indicates investors remain optimistic. However, minor negative price variations for major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (-0.37%) and Ethereum (-1.36%) on October 3, coupled with significant volume increases, could point to a consolidation period where smart money is active.

Substantial increases in exchange volumes,Binance’s 23.27% rise and Kraken’s 49.82% surge on October 3,mean considerable liquidity and market interest. This active trading could lead to sharper price movements once a clear direction emerges. Specific negative news surrounding projects like NEAR and Bitget highlights ongoing security risks and project-specific vulnerabilities within the broader crypto ecosystem. Investors should stay diligent regarding the security of their holdings on exchanges and the viability of individual projects.

What next?

In the next 8 hours, watch Bitcoin’s price action closely, especially around the $85,000 and $86,000 levels, as news suggests these are key resistance points. Sustained trading above these levels, especially with continued high volume, could signal a stronger bullish continuation. Conversely, a failure to hold these levels might signal further consolidation.

Monitor the Fear and Greed Index for any significant shifts. A move back towards ‘Extreme Greed’ (above 75pt) or a deeper drop into ‘Neutral’ (below 50pt) would provide clearer directional cues for market sentiment. Keep an eye on volume variations across major exchanges; continued high volume, particularly on Binance (172,066 volume on Oct 3) and Kraken (26,413 volume on Oct 3), could suggest sustained market interest. Any sudden drop in these volumes could suggest waning momentum.

Finally, pay attention to any new reports regarding Bitcoin ETF inflows or outflows; these have been a significant driver of sentiment and price. The current positive news around Bitcoin ETFs recording $102 million in inflows suggests this remains a critical factor.

Disclaimer – Informational Content, Not Investment Advice

Content provided herein is solely for informational purposes and should not be construed as a recommendation, endorsement, or suggestion to engage in any form of investment activity. The information presented in this post is not intended to serve as financial, legal, tax, or investment advice.

About the Author: CryptoTrends Team

With over five years of diving deep into cryptocurrencies and blockchain, we’ve cemented our position as experts in the digital currency realm. Our team has not only contributed to a multitude of pioneering blockchain projects but has also enlightened thousands with our incisive articles CryptoTrends. Always at the cutting edge of crypto trends, we proudly collaborate with CryptoBotStation, ensuring our readers stay one step ahead in this dynamic space.